تاثیرات جدایی احتمالی شهرری از کلانشهر تهران

نوع مقاله : مقاله علمی پژوهشی

نویسنده

گروه برنامه‌ریزی و طراحی محیط، پژوهشکده علوم محیطی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران

چکیده

شهرری به‌عنوان مرکز بخش ری از توابع شهرستان ری از سال 1393، قانوناً به‌عنوان منطقه 22 کلان‌شهر تهران شناخته شد و از آن سال تاکنون، مدیران و معتمدین شهرری، به‌انحاءم ختلف تلاش می‌کنند تا این شهر را باز پس گرفته و دوباره به‌عنوان مرکز بخش ری تعریف کنند. هدف پژوهش حاضر، بررسی پیامدهای احتمالی جدایی شهرری (منطقه 20 تهران) از کلان‌شهر تهران است و در این راستا، سناریوهای مختلف موردبررسی قرار گیرد. انجام این پژوهش، به دلیل تبیین پیامدها و سناریوهای مختلف، مهم و ضروری است. این پژوهش به دلیل بررسی پیامدهای جدایی شهرری از کلان‌شهر تهران و طرح سناریوهای مختلف از نوآوری برخوردار است. روش تحقیق مبتنی بر روش تحلیلی- توسعه‌ای است. گردآوری داده‌ها به روش اسنادی و پیمایشی انجام‌شده و در تحلیل داده‌ها از روش‌های کمی (آزمون‌های آماری، نرم‌افزار MIC MAC و نرم‌افزار Wizard) و کیفی (تحلیل مضمون) استفاده‌شده است. جامعه آماری شامل شهروندان شهرری و گروه خبرگان است که بر اساس فرمول کوکران و با در نظر گرفتن 95% ضریب اطمینان از 384 نفر از شهروندان پرسشگری به‌عمل‌آمده و 36 نفر از گروه خبرگان مورد مصاحبه قرارگرفته‌اند. نتایج نشان می‌دهد که بعد حقوقی- قانونی با میانگین ۳.23 بیشترین و بعد محیط‌زیستی با میانگین 1.80 کمترین پیامدها را از جدایی احتمالی شهرری از شهر تهران خواهند داشت. ابعاد اقتصادی- مالی، فیزیکی- کالبدی، و اداری- نهادی نیز به ترتیب با میانگین‌های ۲.68، ۲.59، و ۲.51، دارای پیامدهای متوسط خواهند بود و بعد اجتماعی- فرهنگی با میانگین 3.11، دارای پیامد بالا در مقیاس لیکرت خواهد بود.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

Evaluating Impacts of Shahr-e-Rey Possible Separation from Tehran Metropolis

نویسنده [English]

  • Hassan Esmaeilzadeh
Department of Environmental Planning and Design, Environmental Sciences Research Institute, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

ABSTRACT
Since 2013, the managers and trustees of Shahr-e-Rey have been trying in various ways to reclaim this city and make it again, as defined as the center of the Rey section. This innovative research examines the consequences of Shahr-e-Rey's separation from the Tehran metropolis and plans different scenarios. The research method is based on the analytical-developmental method. Data collection was done by documentary and survey methods, and quantitative methods (statistical tests, MIC MAC software, and Wizard software) and qualitative (content analysis) methods were used in data analysis. The statistical population includes citizens of Shahr-e-Rey and the experts' group. Based on Cochran's formula and considering the 95% confidence factor, 384 citizens were questioned, and 36 people from the experts' group were interviewed. The results indicate that the legal dimension, with an average of 3.23, will have the most impact, and the environmental dimension, with an average of 1.80, will have the least impact on the possible separation of Shahr-e-Rey from the Tehran metropolis. Economic-financial, physical, and administrative-institutional dimensions will have moderate impacts with averages of 2.68, 2.59, and 2.51, respectively, and the socio-cultural dimensions, with an average of 3.11, will have high impacts in the separation issue on the Likert scale.
Extended Abstract
Introduction
In April 2012, as a result of Article 12 of establishing the Islamic Council of Tehran Metropolis, only one city, the Islamic Council, was formed in the urban limits of Tehran, Rey, and Tajrish cities. The mayor of Tehran and the city council members stated that the reason for this is the infrastructural and physical continuity and the lack of financial self-sufficiency of Shahr-e-Rey. This issue has caused great dissatisfaction among Rey's people and city managers, who believe that this city is being persecuted. On the one hand, Rey's budget and revenues are deposited into the treasury of Tehran municipality every year. On the other hand, all the pollutants of the Tehran metropolis are transferred to Shahr-e-Rey and its territory. Therefore, according to the Iranian constitution law, they are pursuing the separation of Shahr-e-Rey from the Tehran metropolis.
 
Methodology
The research is based on the analytical-developmental method. This means that first, based on the analytical method, theoretical studies and change statistics were carried out, and the practical and influential components of the plan implementation were identified; then, through the developmental method, all kinds of scenarios were formulated in this field. The data collection was done by documentary and survey methods, and the tools of questionnaires and interview letters were used in this way. Statistical communities include Shahr-e-Rey and the experts' group. The experts' group consisted of some Members of Parliament, some members of the Provincial Supreme Council, some Council members of Tehran metropolis, some members of Tehran and Rey township Councils, managers, the General Directorate of Tehran's Privacy, and the Center for Studies and Planning of Tehran City. For the sample size of Shahr-e-Rey, considering the 95% confidence coefficient of Cochran's formula, the sample size was determined to be 384 people. The sampling method was done in a simple, random way. Five Likert scales were used in the questionnaire (very little = 1, little = 2, medium = 3, high = 4, and very high = 5). The sample size for conducting research is obtained from interviews and questionnaires by an expert group. In order to document and raise the level of public consensus and more confidence in the questionnaire results, 40 letters were published among each of the experts, and 36 people responded. Data analysis was done using statistical tests, MIC MAC, and Wizard software. The validity of the research is based on construct validity and reliability using Cronbach's alpha.
 
Results and discussion
The results indicate that the legal dimension, with an average of 3.23, will have the most impact, and the environmental dimension, with an average of 1.80, will have the least impact on the possible separation of Shahr-e-Rey from the Tehran metropolis. Economic-financial, physical, and administrative-institutional dimensions will have moderate impacts with averages of 2.68, 2.59, and 2.51, respectively, and the socio-cultural dimensions, with an average of 3.11, will have high impacts in the separation issue on the Likert scale. The findings also illustrate that in order to resolve the research problem, six scenarios have been presented, which in order of priority are: adherence to the rules and regulations of the country divisions organization (separation of Shahr-e-Rey from Tehran metropolis; integration of Tehran and Rey cities), independence of urban management of District 20 of Tehran (Establishing an independent council and mayor; transforming the municipality of District 20 into a special municipality), transforming District 20 into a special Iranian-Islamic and natural tourism region, developing all kinds of technologies in various institutional, economic, social, transportation and physical fields, preservation of privacy along with the development of ecotourism and sustainable agriculture in it, and the development of non-governmental organizations at Shahr-e-Rey.
 
 
Conclusion
In order to investigate the consequences of Shahr-e-Rey's separation from the Tehran metropolis and to identify the influential and influential components, the opinions of citizens and expert groups were examined. The results elucidate that in the case of the separation of Shahr-e-Rey from the Tehran metropolis, the most impacts will be in the legal and socio-cultural dimension, and the least will be in the environmental dimension. In order to decide on the separation or integration of Shahr-e-Rey from the metropolis, firstly, the establishment of the steering secretariat for decision-making on the separation/integration of Rey and Tehran in two policy-making and executive working groups with the presence of different members, Tehran mayor, the secretary of Tehran city council, the governors of Tehran and Rey cities, the representative of the Supreme Council of the province, the representatives of both city councils, the mayor of District 20, the governor of Tehran and the head of the commission of councils and internal affairs of the Islamic Council are required. Establishing this secretariat is necessary to strengthen organizational cooperation and collaborative project implementation, avoid parallel work in decisions and policies, prevent failure and prolong project implementation, and control the estimates of the project's negative impacts. To promptly address the issues in District 20, alleviate local protests, and prevent the separation of Shahr-e-Rey from the Tehran metropolis, it is recommended that the municipality of this area be designated as a special urban region. Establishing this secretariat is necessary to strengthen organizational cooperation and collaborative project implementation, avoid parallel work in decisions and policies, prevent failure and prolong project implementation, and control the estimates of the project's negative impacts.
 
Funding
There is funding support from Study and planning center of Tehran city.
 
Authors’ Contribution
Authors contributed equally to the conceptualization and writing of the article. All of the authors approved thecontent of the manuscript and agreed on all aspects of the work declaration of competing interest none.
 
Conflict of Interest
Authors declared no conflict of interest.
 
Acknowledgments
I am grateful to all the managers and employees of Tehran Study and Planning Center who cooperated enough to conduct this research. I would also like to thank all the managers and employees of Tehran Municipality, the honorable members of the Supreme Council of the Province and Tehran City Council, the governors of Tehran and Ray, and other officials who cooperated in various parts of planning and holding meetings.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Impacts Assessments
  • Accession
  • Political Division
  • Shahr-e-Rey
  • Tehran metropolis
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