شناسایی عوامل کلیدی تاثیرگذار در آینده مناسبات هیدروپلیتیک حوضه آبریز کورا- ارس

Kura-Aras catchment is one of the important joint catchments between the five countries of Iran, Armenia, Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia, which has a special geopolitical sensitivity and location. Aras water from Turkish sources from Turkey to Armenia, Turkey - Azerbaijan, Iran - Azerbaijan, Iran - Armenia and once again Iran - Azerbaijan irrigates and crosses their borders and flows into the Caspian Sea into the Kura River. And the main question of the research is what are the key factors influencing the future of hydropolitical relations of Kura-Aras catchment? Type of applied research and data collection method Documentary, library method and using the opinion of experts (25 people) and counting 44 key factors were identified and by forming an expert panel and merging similar factors and 32 factors were identified and data analysis method Using Mick Mac futures research software and applying matrix analysis method, the research findings show that the pressures are in 4 dimensions (management-legal, geographical (natural-environmental), geopolitical (political-). Social (economic and technical) has been identified and finally identified 11 main and key drivers for explaining the future of hydropolitical relations between the countries of Kura-Aras catchment. The results of the research show that the downstream countries of the catchment should reach agreements with the upstream countries, including Turkey, to determine the legal regime, fair access to water and joint integrated management of water resources.

Kura-Aras catchment is one of the important joint catchments between the five countries of Iran, Armenia, Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia, which has a special geopolitical sensitivity and location. Aras water from Turkish sources from Turkey to Armenia, Turkey - Azerbaijan, Iran - Azerbaijan, Iran - Armenia and once again Iran - Azerbaijan irrigates and crosses their borders and flows into the Caspian Sea into the Kura River. And the main question of the research is what are the key factors influencing the future of hydropolitical relations of Kura-Aras catchment? Type of applied research and data collection method Documentary, library method and using the opinion of experts (25 people) and counting 44 key factors were identified and by forming an expert panel and merging similar factors and 32 factors were identified and data analysis method Using Mick Mac futures research software and applying matrix analysis method, the research findings show that the pressures are in 4 dimensions (management-legal, geographical (natural-environmental), geopolitical (political-). Social (economic and technical) has been identified and finally identified 11 main and key drivers for explaining the future of hydropolitical relations between the countries of Kura-Aras catchment. The results of the research show that the downstream countries of the catchment should reach agreements with the upstream countries, including Turkey, to determine the legal regime, fair access to water and joint integrated management of water resources.

Kura-Aras catchment is one of the important joint catchments between the five countries of Iran, Armenia, Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia, which has a special geopolitical sensitivity and location. Aras water from Turkish sources from Turkey to Armenia, Turkey - Azerbaijan, Iran - Azerbaijan, Iran - Armenia and once again Iran - Azerbaijan irrigates and crosses their borders and flows into the Caspian Sea into the Kura River. And the main question of the research is what are the key factors influencing the future of hydropolitical relations of Kura-Aras catchment? Type of applied research and data collection method Documentary, library method and using the opinion of experts (25 people) and counting 44 key factors were identified and by forming an expert panel and merging similar factors and 32 factors were identified and data analysis method Using Mick Mac futures research software and applying matrix analysis method, the research findings show that the pressures are in 4 dimensions (management-legal, geographical (natural-environmental), geopolitical (political-). Social (economic and technical) has been identified and finally identified 11 main and key drivers for explaining the future of hydropolitical relations between the countries of Kura-Aras catchment. The results of the research show that the downstream countries of the catchment should reach agreements with the upstream countries, including Turkey, to determine the legal regime, fair access to water and joint integrated management of water resources.

Kura-Aras catchment is one of the important joint catchments between the five countries of Iran, Armenia, Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia, which has a special geopolitical sensitivity and location. Aras water from Turkish sources from Turkey to Armenia, Turkey - Azerbaijan, Iran - Azerbaijan, Iran - Armenia and once again Iran - Azerbaijan irrigates and crosses their borders and flows into the Caspian Sea into the Kura River. And the main question of the research is what are the key factors influencing the future of hydropolitical relations of Kura-Aras catchment? Type of applied research and data collection method Documentary, library method and using the opinion of experts (25 people) and counting 44 key factors were identified and by forming an expert panel and merging similar factors and 32 factors were identified and data analysis method Using Mick Mac futures research software and applying matrix analysis method, the research findings show that the pressures are in 4 dimensions (management-legal, geographical (natural-environmental), geopolitical (political-). Social (economic and technical) has been identified and finally identified 11 main and key drivers for explaining the future of hydropolitical relations between the countries of Kura-Aras catchment. The results of the research show that the downstream countries of the catchment should reach agreements with the upstream countries, including Turkey, to determine the legal regime, fair access to water and joint integrated management of water resources.

Kura-Aras catchment is one of the important joint catchments between the five countries of Iran, Armenia, Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia, which has a special geopolitical sensitivity and location. Aras water from Turkish sources from Turkey to Armenia, Turkey - Azerbaijan, Iran - Azerbaijan, Iran - Armenia and once again Iran - Azerbaijan irrigates and crosses their borders and flows into the Caspian Sea into the Kura River .